Noordwijk v TOGB: the model read
Noordwijk meet TOGB in the Derde Divisie - Sunday group b - 34 at Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Noordwijk on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Noordwijk at 56%; double chance reads Noordwijk or draw 68%, TOGB or draw 60%.
Noordwijk arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Achilles Veen, W 2-0 v Blauw Geel, L 2-3 v De Treffers, L 1-2 v TOGB.
TOGB are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Poortugaal, D 1-1 @ UNA, L 0-4 @ FC Lisse, L 0-3 @ Excelsior Maassluis.
Noordwijk hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Noordwijk 1-2 TOGB.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
