Spartak Moscow v Ural: the model read
Spartak Moscow meet Ural in the Cup regions path - semi-finals - 1st round at Lukoil Arena, Moskva.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 63%. Attacking output favors Ural on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Ural at 56%; double chance reads Spartak Moscow or draw 62%, Ural or draw 70%.
Spartak Moscow arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Zenit, D 1-1 @ Rubin, W 2-1 @ Baltika, L 1-2 v FC Krasnodar.
Ural are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Arsenal Tula, W 2-0 v Tekstilshchik, D 1-1 @ Rotor Volgograd, W 3-0 v FC UFA.
Spartak Moscow hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Spartak Moscow 3-0 Ural.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
