Where the market is wrong on Austria U21 v Denmark U21
Austria U21 meet Denmark U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification group stage - 22 at Sportclub-Platz, Vienna.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 65%. Attacking output favors Denmark U21 on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Austria U21 arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Denmark U21, W 2-1 v Belarus U21, L 0-1 @ Belgium U21, W 1-0 v Belgium U21.
Denmark U21 are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Austria U21, W 2-0 v Belarus U21, W 4-0 v Wales U21, W 1-0 @ Belarus U21.
The market prices AUS at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
