Ukraine U21 v Croatia U21: the model read
Ukraine U21 meet Croatia U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification group stage - 22 at DVTK Stadion, Miskolc.
Croatia U21 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1500. Recent form leans Croatia U21, 73% against 48%. Attacking output favors Croatia U21 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Ukraine U21 arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Croatia U21, D 2-2 v Turkey U21, L 0-3 @ Japan U21, L 1-3 @ USA U21.
Croatia U21 are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Ukraine U21, W 3-1 v Hungary U21, D 2-2 v Republic of Ireland U21, W 2-0 v Qatar U23.
Ukraine U21 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ukraine U21 1-0 Croatia U21.
The market prices UKR at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
