Where the market is wrong on Denmark U21 v Belarus U21
Denmark U21 meet Belarus U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification group stage - 20 at Vejle Stadion, Vejle.
Denmark U21 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1431. Recent form leans Denmark U21, 65% against 38%. Attacking output favors Denmark U21 on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.2 per match.
Denmark U21 arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Wales U21, W 1-0 @ Belarus U21, D 1-1 v USA U21, L 0-2 @ Belgium U21.
Belarus U21 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Belgium U21, W 2-1 v Kazakhstan U21, W 2-0 v Kazakhstan U21, L 1-2 @ Austria U21.
The market prices DEN at 74% implied. Our number sits apart on Belarus U21: a 15.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
