North Texas v St. Louis City II: the model read
North Texas meet St. Louis City II in the MLS Next Pro conference - finals at Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, Texas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors North Texas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans North Texas at 52%; double chance reads North Texas or draw 66%, St. Louis City II or draw 63%.
North Texas arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Minnesota United II, D 0-0 v Austin II, L 0-3 v Portland Timbers II, W 3-1 v Tacoma Defiance.
St. Louis City II are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Houston Dynamo FC II, W 2-0 @ The Town, D 0-0 @ Colorado Rapids II, W 3-0 v Real Monarchs.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
