Almeria v Athletic Club: the model read
Almeria meet Athletic Club in the La Liga regular season - 24 at Power Horse Stadium, Almería.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Almeria, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Athletic Club on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Almeria at 50%; double chance reads Almeria or draw 64%, Athletic Club or draw 64%.
Almeria arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Tenerife, W 3-0 v Eldense, W 4-0 @ Cordoba, W 2-0 @ Al-Nassr.
Athletic Club are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Sevilla, L 1-3 @ Zaragoza, L 0-1 @ Atalanta, L 1-3 @ Marseille.
Athletic Club hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Almeria 0-0 Athletic Club.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
