Jordan v Algeria

Jordan meet Algeria in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group j at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara. The model makes Algeria the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% JOR, 30% draw, 41% ALG.

The baseline ratings are close, 1710 to 1820, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 56% against 64%. Attacking output favors Algeria on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Jordan 0-1 Algeria, from expected goals of 0.9 to 1.7.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Algeria at 60%; double chance reads Jordan or draw 59%, Algeria or draw 72%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.