Belgium v Egypt

Belgium meet Egypt in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group g at Lumen Field, Seattle. The model makes Belgium the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% BEL, 31% draw, 30% EGY.

Belgium rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1960 to 1800. Recent form separates little, 66% against 62%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.2 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Belgium 1-0 Egypt, from expected goals of 1.5 to 1.0.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Belgium at 57%; double chance reads Belgium or draw 70%, Egypt or draw 61%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.