Mareuil v Les Herbiers: the model read
Mareuil meet Les Herbiers in the Coupe de France 7th round at Stade Jean de Mouzon, Luçon. The model makes Les Herbiers the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 23% MAR, 27% draw, 51% LES.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Les Herbiers, 50% against 0%. Attacking output favors Les Herbiers on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Les Herbiers at 69%; double chance reads Mareuil or draw 49%, Les Herbiers or draw 77%.
Mareuil arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-1L from their last five (0/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 v Les Herbiers.
Les Herbiers are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Angers, W 3-0 v Châteaubriant, L 0-1 @ Bordeaux, D 3-3 v Avranches.
Les Herbiers hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Mareuil 1-6 Les Herbiers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
