Pinhalnovense v Juventude Évora: the model read
Pinhalnovense meet Juventude Évora in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group F group f - 18 at Campo Santos Jorge, Pinhal Novo. The model makes Juventude Évora the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% PIN, 31% draw, 41% JUV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1496 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Juventude Évora, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Juventude Évora on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Juventude Évora at 59%; double chance reads Pinhalnovense or draw 59%, Juventude Évora or draw 72%.
Pinhalnovense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 0 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Lagos, L 0-3 @ Moncarapachense, L 0-3 @ Imortal Albufeira, D 0-0 v Olhanense.
Juventude Évora are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Vasco da Gama Vidigueira, W 1-0 @ Moncarapachense, D 1-1 v Comércio Indústria, W 3-0 @ FC Serpa.
Juventude Évora hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Juventude Évora 0-0 Pinhalnovense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output