Mbour Petite Côte v CNEPS Excellence: the model read
Mbour Petite Côte meet CNEPS Excellence in the Ligue 1 regular season - 24 at Stade Lamine Guèye, Kaolack. The model makes CNEPS Excellence the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% MBO, 34% draw, 35% CNE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 20% against 23%. Attacking output favors CNEPS Excellence on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans CNEPS Excellence at 53%; double chance reads Mbour Petite Côte or draw 65%, CNEPS Excellence or draw 69%.
Mbour Petite Côte arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Génération Foot, L 0-2 v Jaraaf, L 1-2 v CNEPS Excellence, L 0-1 @ DSC.
CNEPS Excellence are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Pikine, L 1-2 v La Linguère, L 1-2 @ DSC, D 3-3 v Diambars.
Mbour Petite Côte hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Mbour Petite Côte 1-2 CNEPS Excellence.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
