Persepam Madura Utd v PSM Makassar: the model read
Persepam Madura Utd meet PSM Makassar in the Piala Indonesia semi-finals at Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan. The model makes Persepam Madura Utd the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% PER, 31% draw, 32% PSM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Persepam Madura Utd, 38% against 28%. Attacking output favors Persepam Madura Utd on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Persepam Madura Utd at 54%; double chance reads Persepam Madura Utd or draw 68%, PSM Makassar or draw 62%.
Persepam Madura Utd arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v PSM Makassar, L 1-2 @ PSIM Yogyakarta, L 1-3 @ Bhayangkara FC, W 2-0 v Bali United.
PSM Makassar are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Persepam Madura Utd, L 1-2 v Persib Bandung, L 0-3 @ Arema FC, W 2-1 v Bhayangkara FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
