Carquefou v Boulogne: the model read
Carquefou meet Boulogne in the National 1 regular season - 31 at Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou. The model makes Carquefou the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CAR, 35% draw, 29% BOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1445, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Carquefou, 53% against 42%. Attacking output favors Carquefou on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Carquefou at 56%; double chance reads Carquefou or draw 71%, Boulogne or draw 63%.
Carquefou arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trégunc, D 1-1 @ Drapeau Fougères, L 1-4 @ Gazelec FC Ajaccio, L 1-2 v Amiens.
Boulogne are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Amiens, L 1-4 @ Lens, W 2-0 @ Fleury 91, L 0-1 v Versailles.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2014: Carquefou 2-1 Boulogne.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
