Carquefou v Colomiers: the model read
Carquefou meet Colomiers in the National 1 regular season - 23 at Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou. The model makes Colomiers the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% CAR, 31% draw, 36% COL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Colomiers, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Colomiers on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Colomiers at 53%; double chance reads Carquefou or draw 64%, Colomiers or draw 68%.
Carquefou arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trégunc, D 1-1 @ Drapeau Fougères, L 1-4 @ Gazelec FC Ajaccio, L 1-2 v Amiens.
Colomiers are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Onet-le-Château, L 1-4 v Pau II, W 4-1 @ Alberes Argelès, W 2-1 v Castanet.
Carquefou hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2014: Carquefou 1-1 Colomiers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
