Where the market is wrong on Sturm Graz v Floridsdorfer AC
Sturm Graz meet Floridsdorfer AC in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sturm Graz, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Sturm Graz on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
Sturm Graz arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Floridsdorfer AC, L 0-3 @ Red Bull Salzburg, D 0-0 v Rennes, W 2-1 v Lask Linz.
Floridsdorfer AC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Sturm Graz, W 4-0 v FC Liefering, L 0-4 @ Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, D 0-0 v Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz.
Sturm Graz hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sturm Graz 3-1 Floridsdorfer AC.
The market prices STU at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Floridsdorfer AC: a 18.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
