Where the market is wrong on Uxbridge v Hungerford Town
Uxbridge meet Hungerford Town in the FA Cup 3rd round qualifying.
Uxbridge rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1400. Recent form leans Uxbridge, 74% against 33%. Attacking output favors Uxbridge on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.2 per match.
Uxbridge arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Basingstoke Town, W 2-1 v Lewes, W 2-0 @ Farnborough, D 2-2 v Farnborough.
Hungerford Town are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Slimbridge, W 4-0 @ Wells City, L 1-3 @ Portland United, L 0-1 @ Chertsey Town.
Uxbridge hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hungerford Town 0-4 Uxbridge.
The market prices UXB at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Uxbridge: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
