Where the market is wrong on Sportivo Carapeguá v Deportivo Capiata
Sportivo Carapeguá meet Deportivo Capiata in the Division Intermedia regular season - 27.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sportivo Carapeguá, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors Sportivo Carapeguá on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Sportivo Carapeguá arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Deportivo Capiata, W 1-0 @ Independiente F.b.c., D 0-0 v Tacuary, W 2-1 @ Atlético Tembetary.
Deportivo Capiata are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Sportivo Carapeguá, D 0-0 v 12 de Junio VH, L 1-3 @ Encarnación, L 0-1 v Deportivo Santani.
Deportivo Capiata hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sportivo Carapeguá 1-1 Deportivo Capiata.
The market prices SPO at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
