Cerrito v La Luz

Cerrito meet La Luz in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 20.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Cerrito on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.

Cerrito arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v La Luz, W 3-1 @ Wanderers, D 1-1 v CA River Plate, D 0-0 @ Atenas.

La Luz are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cerrito, L 0-1 v Atenas, W 1-0 @ Paysandu, L 1-3 v Sportivo Huracan.

La Luz hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cerrito 1-2 La Luz.

The market prices CER at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.