CONCACAF Nations League · League C - 1 · World

Turks and Caicos Islands v Montserrat

0-2Tempo finalSep 23, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Análise da partidaResumo pré-jogo

Where the market is wrong on Turks and Caicos Islands v Montserrat

Turks and Caicos Islands meet Montserrat in the CONCACAF Nations League league c - 1.

The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 38%. Attacking output favors Turks and Caicos Islands on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.

Turks and Caicos Islands arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Montserrat, D 1-1 @ US Virgin Islands, L 0-3 @ Belize, W 2-1 v Anguilla.

Montserrat are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v British Virgin Islands, W 2-0 @ Turks and Caicos Islands, L 0-3 @ Guyana, W 1-0 v Belize.

The market prices TUR at 6% implied. Our number sits apart on Turks and Caicos Islands: a 27.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ver planos

Turks and Caicos Islands

LWLDL5-4-11

Gols marcados 1.05 · Gols sofridos 2.25 · Gols sem sofrer 15% · Ambos marcam 55%

LCasaMontserrat0-2
DForaUS Virgin Islands1-1
LForaBelize0-3
WCasaAnguilla2-1
LCasaBelize0-4

Montserrat

LWLWW7-1-12

Gols marcados 1.00 · Gols sofridos 1.90 · Gols sem sofrer 25% · Ambos marcam 35%

WCasaBritish Virgin Islands3-0
WForaTurks and Caicos Islands2-0
LForaGuyana0-3
WCasaBelize1-0
LForaEl Salvador0-1

Treinadores

A. Lawrence

Treinador principal

No comando desde 2024 · 3 times comandados

Turks and Caicos Islands W2023–2023
Sandals South Coast2017–2018

Treinador visitante indisponível.

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MeisterIQ, as quatro entradas do modelo, modelo vs. mercado e a margem

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Apenas dados reais: resultados recentes, confronto direto e odds de mercado. Nenhum resultado do modelo é mostrado para times sem priores do Lemeister.

Relatório da partida

Montserrat beat Turks and Caicos Islands 2-0.

How it unfolded: 41' ashley boatswain (MON), 69' ashley boatswain (MON).

The numbers, TUR to MON: possession 44% to 56%; shots on target 0 to 4; total shots 2 to 14; corners 2 to 3.

Top match ratings: S. Clare (TUR) at 6.4, J. Dorsett (MON) at 7.3.

Discipline: 5 yellow cards.

Changes off the bench: TUR 4, MON 5.

The model's lean held: it made Montserrat the most likely outcome at 37%, and the result followed. One result proves little; the ledger is the judge over the full tournament.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Turks and Caicos Islands 1-2 Montserrat; the match finished 0-2.

Ledger entry: the published 27.3-point edge on Turks and Caicos Islands did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

Dados da partida

How it unfolded: 41' ashley boatswain (MON), 69' ashley boatswain (MON).
The numbers, TUR to MON: possession 44% to 56%; shots on target 0 to 4; total shots 2 to 14; corners 2 to 3.
Top match ratings: S. Clare (TUR) at 6.4, J. Dorsett (MON) at 7.3.
Discipline: 5 yellow cards.
Changes off the bench: TUR 4, MON 5.

Como o modelo avaliou

The model's lean held: it made Montserrat the most likely outcome at 37%, and the result followed. One result proves little; the ledger is the judge over the full tournament.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Turks and Caicos Islands 1-2 Montserrat; the match finished 0-2.

Ledger entry: the published 27.3-point edge on Turks and Caicos Islands did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

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Turks and Caicos Islands v Montserrat

Where the market is wrong on Turks and Caicos Islands v Montserrat

Sua aposta

Turks and Caicos Islands

Montserrat

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