Where the market is wrong on United of Manchester v Ossett United
United of Manchester meet Ossett United in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 30%. Attacking output favors United of Manchester on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
United of Manchester arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 18 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Ossett United, W 4-1 v Warrington Town, W 5-1 @ Garforth Town, L 3-4 v Avro.
Ossett United are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ United of Manchester, W 1-0 v Pontefract Collieries, L 2-3 @ Guisborough Town, L 1-2 v Bradford (Park Avenue).
United of Manchester hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: United of Manchester 4-1 Ossett United.
The market prices UNI at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on Ossett United: a 20.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output