Where the market is wrong on Vikingur Reykjavik v Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik meet Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild championship group - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vikingur Reykjavik, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Vikingur Reykjavik on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Vikingur Reykjavik arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Keflavik, D 2-2 v Fram Reykjavik, D 1-1 @ KR Reykjavik, L 1-3 @ Borac Banja Luka.
Keflavik are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik, L 1-2 v Valur Reykjavik, L 1-2 @ FH hafnarfjordur, W 1-0 v IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
The market prices VIK at 73% implied. Our number sits apart on Keflavik: a 20.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
