Canberra FC v Cooma Tigers FC: the model read
Canberra FC meet Cooma Tigers FC in the Capital Territory NPL final at Deakin Stadium, Canberra.
The baseline ratings are close, 1788 to 1696, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Canberra FC, 88% against 75%. Attacking output favors Canberra FC on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.7 per match.
Canberra FC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Cooma Tigers FC, W 1-0 v Queanbeyan City, W 4-0 v Belconnen United, W 3-2 @ Monaro Panthers.
Cooma Tigers FC are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 20 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Canberra FC, W 2-1 @ Monaro Panthers, W 4-2 v Canberra Juventus, W 6-1 @ Brindabella.
Canberra FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Canberra FC 0-3 Cooma Tigers FC.
The market prices CAN at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
