Where the market is wrong on Turku PS v Ilves
Turku PS meet Ilves in the Veikkausliiga relegation group - 25 at Veritas Stadion, Turku.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Ilves on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Turku PS arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mariehamn, D 0-0 v SJK, D 1-1 @ Gnistan, D 0-0 v Inter Turku.
Ilves are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Lahti, W 2-0 v FF Jaro, L 1-2 v HJK Helsinki, L 0-1 v VPS.
Ilves hold the recent head-to-head, 10 wins to 0 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Turku PS 1-3 Ilves.
The market prices TUR at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
