Where the market is wrong on Japan U20 W v United States U20 W
Japan U20 W meet United States U20 W in the World Cup - U20 - Women group stage - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1776 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Japan U20 W, 88% against 75%. Attacking output favors Japan U20 W on expected goals, 3.5 to 3.0 per match.
Japan U20 W arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Italy U20 W, D 2-2 v United States U20 W, W 2-1 v New Zealand U20 W, W 1-0 @ England U20 W.
United States U20 W are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 9-0 @ New Zealand U20 W, D 2-2 @ Japan U20 W, L 1-2 v Italy U20 W, L 0-1 v Colombia U20 W.
Japan U20 W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Japan U20 W 2-2 United States U20 W.
The market prices JAP at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on United States U20 W: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
