Where the market is wrong on GFA v Yadanarbon
GFA meet Yadanarbon in the National League regular season - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Yadanarbon, 43% against 18%. Attacking output favors Yadanarbon on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Yadanarbon at 67%; double chance reads GFA or draw 50%, Yadanarbon or draw 76%.
GFA arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Yadanarbon, L 1-3 @ Sagaing United, L 1-4 @ Myawady, L 1-4 v Dagon.
Yadanarbon are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ GFA, L 0-1 @ Dagon Port, L 2-3 v Yangon United, W 2-1 v Ayeyawady United.
Yadanarbon hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 1 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: GFA 1-2 Yadanarbon.
The market prices GFA at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on GFA: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output