Where the market is wrong on Modbury Jets v Adelaide Olympic
Modbury Jets meet Adelaide Olympic in the South Australia State League 1 semi-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Modbury Jets, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Modbury Jets on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Modbury Jets arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 18 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 v Adelaide Olympic, W 4-0 @ Adelaide Olympic, W 1-0 @ Cumberland United, W 4-0 v Adelaide Cobras.
Adelaide Olympic are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Modbury Jets, L 0-4 v Modbury Jets, W 3-1 v Adelaide Victory, L 0-1 v Adelaide Raiders.
Modbury Jets hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Modbury Jets 6-0 Adelaide Olympic.
The market prices MOD at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
