Where the market is wrong on Adelaide Raiders v Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Raiders meet Adelaide Blue Eagles in the South Australia State League 1 semi-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1696 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Adelaide Raiders, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors Adelaide Raiders on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.6 per match.
Adelaide Raiders arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Adelaide Blue Eagles, W 3-0 @ Adelaide Blue Eagles, W 1-0 @ Adelaide Olympic, W 4-2 v The Cove.
Adelaide Blue Eagles are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Adelaide Raiders, L 0-3 v Adelaide Raiders, W 3-2 @ Fulham United, W 2-1 v Eastern United.
Adelaide Raiders hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Adelaide Raiders 4-0 Adelaide Blue Eagles.
The market prices ADE at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output