Where the market is wrong on Paraguari AC v Resistencia
Paraguari AC meet Resistencia in the Division Intermedia regular season - 21.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Resistencia, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Resistencia on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Paraguari AC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Resistencia, L 2-3 @ 12 de Junio VH, L 0-2 v Sportivo Luqueno, D 1-1 v SOL DE America.
Resistencia are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Paraguari AC, L 0-1 v Cerro Porteno, D 0-0 @ SOL DE America, W 1-0 v Deportivo Capiata.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paraguari AC 1-0 Resistencia.
The market prices PAR at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
