Where the market is wrong on Cerro Porteno v Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno meet Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura clausura - 7 at General Pablo Rojas, Asuncion.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Libertad Asuncion on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Cerro Porteno arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Libertad Asuncion, W 1-0 @ Resistencia, L 1-2 @ Olimpia, L 0-1 v Palmeiras.
Libertad Asuncion are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cerro Porteno, W 1-0 v Club Sp. San Lorenzo, D 0-0 @ Tacuary, W 2-1 @ Sportivo Luqueno.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Libertad Asuncion.
The market prices CER at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Libertad Asuncion: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
