Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Recoleta v Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta meet Olimpia in the Division Profesional - Clausura clausura - 7 at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana, Asuncion.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Olimpia, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Olimpia on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Deportivo Recoleta arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Olimpia, W 2-0 @ Deportivo Santani, L 1-3 @ Sportivo Ameliano, L 0-4 v Boca Juniors.
Olimpia are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Deportivo Recoleta, W 5-3 @ Cristóbal Colón JAS, W 2-1 v Cerro Porteno, L 1-4 v Vasco DA Gama.
Olimpia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 Olimpia.
The market prices DEP at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Recoleta: a 13.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
