Where the market is wrong on Oman Club v Dhofar
Oman Club meet Dhofar in the Professional League regular season - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Oman Club, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Oman Club on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Oman Club at 54%; double chance reads Oman Club or draw 70%, Dhofar or draw 65%.
Oman Club arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Smail, D 1-1 v Fanja, W 1-0 @ Al-Rustaq, L 2-3 v Sur.
Dhofar are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Bahla, W 3-1 v Al Nasr, W 2-1 v Al-Khabourah, L 0-2 @ Ibri.
Oman Club hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dhofar 1-2 Oman Club.
The market prices OMA at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
