Where the market is wrong on Sarrabus Ogliastra v Unipomezia
Sarrabus Ogliastra meet Unipomezia in the Serie D - Girone G group g - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Unipomezia, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Unipomezia on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Sarrabus Ogliastra arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Unipomezia, D 1-1 @ Albalonga, L 0-2 v Certosa V. Campagnano, W 1-0 @ Anzio.
Unipomezia are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sarrabus Ogliastra, W 2-0 v Ossese, W 2-0 @ Città di Anagni, D 1-1 v Venafro.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-2 Unipomezia.
The market prices SAR at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Unipomezia: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output