Where the market is wrong on Real Calepina v Brusaporto
Real Calepina meet Brusaporto in the Serie D - Girone B group b - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 50%. Attacking output favors Real Calepina on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Real Calepina arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Brusaporto, L 1-3 @ Piacenza, D 2-2 v Caldiero Terme, D 0-0 @ Scanzorosciate.
Brusaporto are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Real Calepina, W 1-0 v Fiorenzuola, L 1-2 @ Milan II, W 2-1 v Tritium.
Real Calepina hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Calepina 2-3 Brusaporto.
The market prices REA at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output