Boavista SC v Madureira: the model read
Boavista SC meet Madureira in the Copa Rio semi-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 43%. Attacking output favors Boavista SC on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Boavista SC at 54%; double chance reads Boavista SC or draw 69%, Madureira or draw 63%.
Boavista SC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Madureira, W 3-0 v CFRJ / Maricá, L 0-1 @ CFRJ / Maricá, W 4-0 v CEAC / Araruama.
Madureira are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Boavista SC, D 1-1 v Portuguesa RJ, W 1-0 @ Portuguesa RJ, D 1-1 v Bonsucesso.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
