Where the market is wrong on Raków Częstochowa v HNK Hajduk Split
Raków Częstochowa meet HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Czestochowa.
HNK Hajduk Split rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1500. Recent form leans HNK Hajduk Split, 73% against 48%. Attacking output favors HNK Hajduk Split on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.
Raków Częstochowa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Jagiellonia, L 2-3 v HNK Hajduk Split, D 2-2 @ HNK Hajduk Split, L 1-2 @ Cracovia Krakow.
HNK Hajduk Split are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, W 3-2 @ Raków Częstochowa, W 4-0 v NK Osijek, D 2-2 v Raków Częstochowa.
HNK Hajduk Split hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Raków Częstochowa 2-3 HNK Hajduk Split.
The market prices RAK at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on HNK Hajduk Split: a 20.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
