Where the market is wrong on Shooting Stars v Inter Lagos
Shooting Stars meet Inter Lagos in the NPFL regular season - 1 at Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan.
Shooting Stars rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Shooting Stars, 55% against 0%. Attacking output favors Shooting Stars on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Shooting Stars at 63%; double chance reads Shooting Stars or draw 74%, Inter Lagos or draw 56%.
Shooting Stars arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Inter Lagos, D 1-1 v Kada Warriors, L 0-1 @ Niger Tornadoes, W 1-0 v Barau FC.
Inter Lagos are out of sorts: 0W-0D-1L from their last five (0/15 pts), 1 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Shooting Stars.
Shooting Stars hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shooting Stars 2-1 Inter Lagos.
The market prices SHO at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Inter Lagos: a 13.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output