Arenal v Porreres: the model read
Arenal meet Porreres in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 group 11 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 35%. Attacking output favors Arenal on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Arenal arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Porreres, W 2-1 @ Mercadal, L 1-2 v Alcúdia, L 0-3 @ Constància.
Porreres are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Arenal, W 2-1 v Inter Ibiza, L 1-3 @ Formentera, L 0-1 @ Binéfar.
Porreres hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Arenal 1-2 Porreres.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
