Where the market is wrong on Inhulets v Veres Rivne
Inhulets meet Veres Rivne in the Cup round of 64 at Avanhard, Rivne.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 35%. Attacking output favors Veres Rivne on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Veres Rivne at 55%; double chance reads Inhulets or draw 62%, Veres Rivne or draw 69%.
Inhulets arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Veres Rivne, L 1-2 v Nyva Ternopil, L 0-3 @ Oleksandria, W 2-1 v Polissya II.
Veres Rivne are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Inhulets, D 0-0 @ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, L 1-2 v Dynamo Kyiv, L 0-1 @ FC Kharkiv.
Veres Rivne hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inhulets 1-4 Veres Rivne.
The market prices INH at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
