Where the market is wrong on Ellas Syros v Marko
Ellas Syros meet Marko in the Cup qualifying round.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ellas Syros, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ellas Syros on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Ellas Syros at 54%; double chance reads Ellas Syros or draw 69%, Marko or draw 64%.
Ellas Syros arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Marko, W 1-0 @ Panargiakos, D 0-0 v Kallithea, W 2-0 @ Ilioupoli.
Marko are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ellas Syros, D 0-0 v Kalamata, W 2-1 v Panionios, W 3-0 @ Olympiakos Piraeus II.
Marko hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ellas Syros 1-1 Marko.
The market prices ELL at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Ellas Syros: a 22.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output