Where the market is wrong on Argentino Monte Maíz v Villa Mitre
Argentino Monte Maíz meet Villa Mitre in the Torneo Federal A winners stage - 8 at Estadio Modesto Marrone, Monte Maiz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Argentino Monte Maíz on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Argentino Monte Maíz arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Villa Mitre, W 2-1 @ Huracan Las Heras, W 1-0 v Juventud Antoniana, D 1-1 @ Alvarado.
Villa Mitre are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Argentino Monte Maíz, W 3-0 v Huracan Las Heras, D 0-0 @ Juventud Antoniana, D 0-0 v Alvarado.
The market prices ARG at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
