Paraty v SE Belford Roxo: the model read
Paraty meet SE Belford Roxo in the Carioca B2 group stage - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Paraty on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Paraty arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v SE Belford Roxo, L 2-3 @ Goytacaz, L 0-1 v Santa Cruz RJ, W 2-1 @ Barra Mansa.
SE Belford Roxo are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Paraty, L 1-8 @ Resende, L 1-3 v Resende, L 1-2 v Goytacaz.
SE Belford Roxo hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paraty 0-4 SE Belford Roxo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output