Where the market is wrong on Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh
Al Khaleej Saihat meet Al Riyadh in the Pro League regular season - 6 at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Riyadh, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Al Riyadh on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Al Khaleej Saihat arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Al-Nassr, D 0-0 v Al Riyadh, L 0-3 @ NEOM, L 1-5 v Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
Al Riyadh are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Al Kholood, D 0-0 @ Al Khaleej Saihat, L 0-5 @ Al-Ahli Jeddah, W 1-0 v NEOM.
The market prices AL at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Riyadh: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
