Where the market is wrong on Al-Ettifaq v Al Diriyah
Al-Ettifaq meet Al Diriyah in the Pro League regular season - 4 at EGO Stadium, Dammam.
Al Diriyah rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1443. Recent form leans Al Diriyah, 73% against 40%. Attacking output favors Al Diriyah on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.5 per match.
Al-Ettifaq arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Al Diriyah, L 2-3 v Al-Nassr, W 1-0 @ Al-Fateh, L 0-1 @ Al Jabalain.
Al Diriyah are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Al-Ettifaq, D 1-1 v Al Kholood, W 1-0 @ Al-Hazm, L 1-4 v Al-Nassr.
Al Diriyah hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Ettifaq 0-3 Al Diriyah.
The market prices AL- at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Diriyah: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
