Where the market is wrong on Al-Faisaly FC v NEOM
Al-Faisaly FC meet NEOM in the Pro League regular season - 2 at Al Majma'ah Sport City, Al Majmaah.
Al-Faisaly FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1722 to 1558. Recent form leans Al-Faisaly FC, 79% against 57%. Attacking output favors Al-Faisaly FC on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Al-Faisaly FC at 63%; double chance reads Al-Faisaly FC or draw 73%, NEOM or draw 55%.
Al-Faisaly FC arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v NEOM, L 1-3 v NEOM, L 2-4 @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC, W 3-1 @ Beltinci.
NEOM are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al-Qadisiyah FC, W 2-0 @ Al-Faisaly FC, W 3-1 @ Al-Faisaly FC, W 2-1 v Al-Fayha.
NEOM hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Faisaly FC 0-2 NEOM.
The market prices AL- at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Al-Faisaly FC: a 21.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
