Where the market is wrong on Ştefăneşti v Gloria Bistriţa
Ştefăneşti meet Gloria Bistriţa in the Liga II regular season - 6 at Stadionul Dumitru Matarau, Stefanestii de Jos.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gloria Bistriţa, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ştefăneşti on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Ştefăneşti arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Gloria Bistriţa, L 0-4 @ Bihor Oradea, W 3-1 v Cetatea Suceava, L 0-2 @ CSM Reşiţa.
Gloria Bistriţa are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Ştefăneşti, L 0-2 v Csikszereda, W 1-0 v CSM Satu Mare, L 0-1 @ ASA Targu Mures.
The market prices ŞTE at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Ştefăneşti: a 7.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output