Carrarese v Modena: the model read
Carrarese meet Modena in the Serie B regular season - 7 at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara. The model makes Modena the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% CAR, 32% draw, 37% MOD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Modena on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Modena at 55%; double chance reads Carrarese or draw 63%, Modena or draw 70%.
Carrarese arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Napoli, L 1-2 @ Virtus Entella, D 0-0 v Cesena, L 0-3 @ Frosinone.
Modena are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cagliari, W 5-0 v Virtus Bolzano, L 0-1 v Juve Stabia, L 0-1 @ Avellino.
Modena hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Modena 2-0 Carrarese.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
