Pisa v Virtus Entella: the model read
Pisa meet Virtus Entella in the Serie B regular season - 4 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa. The model makes Virtus Entella the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 27% PIS, 31% draw, 42% VIR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Virtus Entella, 45% against 16%. Attacking output favors Virtus Entella on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Virtus Entella at 61%; double chance reads Pisa or draw 58%, Virtus Entella or draw 73%.
Pisa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Pavia, L 1-2 @ Lazio, L 0-3 v Napoli, L 0-3 @ Cremonese.
Virtus Entella are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Carrarese, L 0-2 @ Bari, W 1-0 v Padova, D 1-1 @ Empoli.
Virtus Entella hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Pisa 2-0 Virtus Entella.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
