Modena v Avellino: the model read
Modena meet Avellino in the Serie B regular season - 3 at Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena.
The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Avellino on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Modena at 55%; double chance reads Modena or draw 69%, Avellino or draw 62%.
Modena arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Cremonese, W 2-1 @ Benevento, L 2-3 @ Venezia, D 0-0 v Vis Pesaro.
Avellino are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Vicenza Virtus, L 1-2 v Arezzo, L 0-3 @ Monza, D 1-1 v Torino.
Avellino hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Avellino 1-0 Modena.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
