Mantova v Empoli: the model read
Mantova meet Empoli in the Serie B regular season - 2 at Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova.
Mantova rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1444. Recent form leans Mantova, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors Mantova on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Mantova at 66%; double chance reads Mantova or draw 75%, Empoli or draw 53%.
Mantova arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Empoli, W 2-1 @ Carrarese, W 2-0 @ Lazio, L 0-1 v Athletic Carpi.
Empoli are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Mantova, W 1-0 v Cremonese, D 1-1 @ Pisa, D 1-1 @ Livorno.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mantova 3-1 Empoli.
The market prices MAN at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Empoli: a 1.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
